The distribution divide

The distribution divide is now data centers versus the rest.

Q2 earnings drew a sharp line this quarter: distributors tied to data centers and electrification are pulling away, while those exposed to housing and discretionary demand are lagging behind. This issue reads that divide, puts building materials under the sector lens, and starts a Regional Spotlight in Europe, where the electrical majors are running ahead of their U.S. peers on digital.

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01

Data centers

The Big Picture

Data centers

Data-center demand is now big enough to move the numbers

The AI infrastructure buildout has become a line-item mover for distributors with the supply-chain depth to serve it. Wesco reported Q2 data-center sales of about $1.5 billion, up 45% year over year, inside record total sales of $6.7 billion, up 13%, and a record backlog. The telling part is the dual posture: Wesco is selling into AI-driven demand for power, cabling, and connectivity while deploying AI internally to compress lead times.

$1.5B

Wesco Q2 data-center sales, up 45% year over year

For the channel, it's the clearest sign yet that AI infrastructure spending now reaches physical distribution, not just the cloud.

AI

AI has entered the buying process

On the buyer side, AI is no longer an experiment. In Gartner's latest surveys, 45% of B2B buyers said they used generative AI during a recent purchase—primarily to research vendors and products—and buyers now consult an average of seven information sources before they ever engage a seller.

45%

of B2B buyers used GenAI during a recent purchase

Buyers arrive later and better-informed; the vendors whose product data an AI can actually read are the ones that make the shortlist.

Source:Gartner

02

Channel moves

How distributors & manufacturers are repositioning

The divide

Q2 growth is real — but increasingly concentrated

Second-quarter results from Grainger, Fastenal, Wesco, Graybar, Applied Industrial, and Pool Corp point to a widening split. Demand is improving, but the gains cluster in industrial maintenance, data centers, electrical infrastructure, utilities, automation, and large national accounts. Distributors more exposed to discretionary construction and consumer spending continue to face softer conditions—a divide analysts say is becoming difficult to ignore.

The takeaway for your team: sector exposure now explains more of a distributor's results than execution alone.

Consolidation

Conditions keep favoring scale

The same earnings season underscored how central M&A remains to distributor growth. Graybar completed multiple acquisitions in the first half to strengthen regional coverage; Applied Industrial pointed to an active pipeline as it works toward $7 billion in annual sales; and Pool Corp named disciplined M&A one of its four strategic priorities. In a two-speed market, the well-capitalized are buying their way to density and share.

$7B

Applied Industrial's M&A-supported sales target

03

Sector Spotlight

Building Materials

Downturn

Builders FirstSource leans on digital as housing stays soft

The largest U.S. building-products distributor is in the harder half of the Q2 divide. Full-year 2025 sales fell 7.4% to $15.2 billion, and Q1 2026 sales dropped 10% to $3.3 billion. The response is instructive: roughly $100 million in cost actions and 21 facility consolidations, share gains through bundled offerings, and an aggressive digital push—a target of $1 billion in digital sales by the end of 2026 through its myBLDR.com platform.

$1B

Builders FirstSource's 2026 digital-sales target

Digital engine

SiteOne shows digital compounding into growth

On the other side of the ledger, landscape-supply distributor SiteOne grew digital sales more than 120% in 2025 while total sales rose 4% to $4.7 billion and net income climbed 23%. Management’s consistent message: customers who engage digitally grow their business with SiteOne significantly faster than those who don’t, helping expand share and lift gross margin.

+120%

SiteOne digital sales growth in 2025

The stakes

The competitive axis shifts from branch count to technology

SiteOne used its June investor day to target $7–8 billion in sales by 2030—a 50–70% jump from $4.7 billion in 2025—via acquisitions, AI, digital commerce, pricing technology, and private label. The signal for the sector: advantage is increasingly driven by technology rather than branch count, and independents without comparable digital capability face mounting pressure, especially among small and midsize customers.

$8B

SiteOne's 2030 sales ambition, tech-led

04

Regional Spotlight

Europe

Electrical

Europe’s electrical distributors run ahead on digital

The data-center engine driving U.S. distributors is transatlantic. Rexel, the French-headquartered global electrical distributor, posted H1 2026 sales of €9.99 billion, about $11 billion, up 5.1% on a same-day basis, with digital rising to 35% of group revenue and growth led by data centers—and it raised full-year guidance. The sharper point: Sonepar’s 2025 digital sales jumped 50% to $13.9 billion, and digital already accounts for 45% of its European revenue versus 33% in the U.S. Europe’s electrical majors are running measurably ahead on digital penetration.

45%

Sonepar’s European digital share of sales, versus 33% in the U.S.

Chemical distribution

The recovery is broadening beyond electrical

Beyond electrical, Brenntag—the Germany-based global chemical distributor and Western Europe’s clear market leader—reported a strong Q2 2026, with EBITDA up sharply year over year, led by its specialty-chemicals arm. It’s a signal that the distribution rebound is reaching more volume-driven segments, not just the data-center-fueled electrical vertical.

+41%

Brenntag Q2 2026 EBITDA growth

Broad-line

Bunzl modernizes the plumbing of distribution

A different vertical, a different lever. Bunzl—the UK-based, world-leading value-added distributor of essentials like packaging, hygiene, and safety supplies—is consolidating its network, cutting warehouses in its largest market, France, from 15 to six, while investing in warehouse automation and continuing bolt-on M&A: eight businesses across seven countries in 2025. It’s a reminder that European distribution’s efficiency race is being run in the warehouse as much as the storefront.

6

Bunzl warehouses in France, consolidated from 15

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